
Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN · RB · vs TB
Projected role: rb:2. Injury: QUESTIONABLE. Not Specified
Current roster and game-injury feeds checked; absence of an injury report is not medical clearance.
StatVision matchup grade C · 52/100 · Evidence coverage 74/100
Research score, not a calibrated touchdown probability. Ranking and profile metric sample: 2026 W2, 2026 W1, 2025 W17, 2025 W16; 4 games. Current depth charts do not reconstruct historical roles.
TD Picks card sample · Last 4 games
Card usage follows the latest completed regular/postseason games; the existing ranking and profile metrics above retain their original sample. Projected roles describe the current depth chart, not every historical game.
- 2026 REG W2 · Sep 20, 2026
- 2026 REG W1 · Sep 13, 2026
- 2025 REG W17 · Dec 25, 2025
- 2025 REG W16 · Dec 21, 2025
Defensive TD rank details
RB: 4 touchdowns / 8 eligible games = 0.5000 TDs/game. All 32 defenses meet the four-game minimum. Equal rates share competition ranks (1, 1, 3). Broad position; not a role-specific split.
- 2026 REG W2 · 2026-09-20 · CLE at TB
- 2026 REG W1 · 2026-09-13 · TB at CIN
- 2025 REG W18 · 2026-01-03 · CAR at TB
- 2025 REG W17 · 2025-12-28 · TB at MIA
- 2025 REG W16 · 2025-12-21 · TB at CAR
- 2025 REG W15 · 2025-12-12 · ATL at TB
- 2025 REG W14 · 2025-12-07 · NO at TB
- 2025 REG W13 · 2025-11-30 · ARI at TB
Final saved pregame odds
Anytime touchdown odds
+100 · BetMGM
- Carries/game
- 18.5
- Targets/game
- 2.0
- Pass attempts/game
- 0.0
- Rushing + receiving TDs/game
- 0.5
- Passing TDs/game
- 0.0
- Snap share
- 64%
- Route participation
- Unavailable
- Red-zone touches/game
- 3.5
- Red-zone carries/game
- 3.0
- Red-zone targets/game
- 0.5
- Carries inside 5/game
- 0.8
- Opponent positional TDs/game
- 0.5
- Opponent positional yards/game
- 117.8
Opponent matchup
- 0.8 opportunities/game inside the 5
- 1.3 opportunities/game inside the 10
- 20.5 carries + targets/game (2026 W2, 2026 W1, 2025 W17, 2025 W16)
- MIN implied for 20.5 points
- 0.33 rush/receiving TDs per game across 6 verified games
- Projected depth role: rb:2
Venue and availability
Raymond James Stadium · Weather unavailable. Roof status: Outdoor.
Unavailable projected offensive-line starters: 0; opposing defensive starters: 1. Individual coverage assignments are unavailable.
- Role-specific opponent TD leak unavailable.
- Verified alignment shares unavailable; no Alignment Leak points awarded.
- Route participation unavailable; snaps are not routes.
- Verified anytime-TD price unavailable; no market points awarded.
Back to TD Picks