Loading NFL research and provider observations…
NFL PLAYER RESEARCH
Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB · vs LV
Projected role: qb:1. Injury: ACTIVE.
Current roster and game-injury feeds checked; absence of an injury report is not medical clearance.
StatVision matchup grade C · 55/100 · Evidence coverage 74/100
Research score, not a calibrated touchdown probability. Ranking and profile metric sample: 2026 W3, 2026 W2, 2026 W1, 2025 W15; 4 games. Current depth charts do not reconstruct historical roles.
TD Picks card sample · Last 4 games
Card usage follows the latest completed regular/postseason games; the existing ranking and profile metrics above retain their original sample. Projected roles describe the current depth chart, not every historical game.
- 2026 REG W3 · Sep 27, 2026
- 2026 REG W2 · Sep 20, 2026
- 2026 REG W1 · Sep 14, 2026
- 2025 REG W15 · Dec 14, 2025
Defensive TD rank details
QB1: 4 touchdowns / 8 eligible games = 0.5000 TDs/game. QB categories count rushing touchdowns only. All 32 defenses meet the four-game minimum. Equal rates share competition ranks (1, 1, 3). Historical roles use verified snap and usage order.
- 2026 REG W3 · 2026-09-27 · LV at NO
- 2026 REG W2 · 2026-09-20 · LV at LAC
- 2026 REG W1 · 2026-09-13 · MIA at LV
- 2025 REG W18 · 2026-01-04 · KC at LV
- 2025 REG W17 · 2025-12-28 · NYG at LV
- 2025 REG W16 · 2025-12-21 · LV at HOU
- 2025 REG W15 · 2025-12-14 · LV at PHI
- 2025 REG W14 · 2025-12-07 · DEN at LV
Final saved pregame odds
Anytime touchdown odds
+450 · DraftKings
- Carries/game
- 3.0
- Targets/game
- 0.0
- Pass attempts/game
- 31.5
- Rushing + receiving TDs/game
- 0.5
- Passing TDs/game
- 1.8
- Snap share
- 98%
- Route participation
- Unavailable
- Red-zone touches/game
- 0.8
- Red-zone carries/game
- 0.8
- Red-zone targets/game
- 0.0
- Carries inside 5/game
- 0.0
- Opponent positional TDs/game
- 1.1
- Opponent positional yards/game
- 203.4
Opponent matchup
- 0.3 opportunities/game inside the 10
- 31.5 designed rushes + scrambles/game (2026 W3, 2026 W2, 2026 W1, 2025 W15)
- KC implied for 25.5 points
- 0.35 rush/receiving TDs per game across 6 verified games
- Projected depth role: qb:1
Venue and availability
Allegiant Stadium · Weather unavailable. Roof status: Indoor.
Unavailable projected offensive-line starters: 1; opposing defensive starters: 0. Individual coverage assignments are unavailable.
- Role-specific opponent TD leak unavailable.
- Verified alignment shares unavailable; no Alignment Leak points awarded.
- Verified anytime-TD price unavailable; no market points awarded.