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At most one safely resolved starting quarterback per team.

Only persisted pregame evidence is shown. Availability and evidence completeness are separate from Matchup Quality.

Choose a game

INDIndianapolis ColtsATWSHWashington Commanders

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20269:30 AM ET
Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

IND candidates vs WSH

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

WSH candidates vs IND

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

NENew England PatriotsATBUFBuffalo Bills

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Highmark Stadium

NE candidates vs BUF

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 52/100

Drake Maye

NE · QB · vs BUF

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production195.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload26.7 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense199.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

BUF candidates vs NE

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 56/100

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · vs NE

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production262.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload28.7 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense169.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

NYJNew York JetsATCHIChicago Bears

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Soldier Field

NYJ candidates vs CHI

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 68/100

Geno Smith

NYJ · QB · vs CHI

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production261.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload34.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense237.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 30 · 2.78× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

CHI candidates vs NYJ

JAXJacksonville JaguarsATCINCincinnati Bengals

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Paycor Stadium

JAX candidates vs CIN

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 59/100

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB · vs CIN

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production205.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload27.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense230.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 19 · 1.21× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

CIN candidates vs JAX

ARIArizona CardinalsATNYGNew York Giants

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: MetLife Stadium

ARI candidates vs NYG

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 68/100

Jacoby Brissett

ARI · QB · vs NYG

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production217.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload39.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense208.9 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 15 · 0.69× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

NYG candidates vs ARI

LARLos Angeles RamsATPHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field

LAR candidates vs PHI

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 68/100

Matthew Stafford

LAR · QB · vs PHI

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production290.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload37.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense166.0 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 32 · 3.65× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

PHI candidates vs LAR

GBGreen Bay PackersATTBTampa Bay Buccaneers

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

GB candidates vs TB

#1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 76/100

Jordan Love

GB · QB · vs TB

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production281.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload41.3 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense225.8 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

TB candidates vs GB

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

TENTennessee TitansATBALBaltimore Ravens

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

TEN candidates vs BAL

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 62/100

Cam Ward

TEN · QB · vs BAL

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production168.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload29.3 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense271.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 28 · 2.43× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

BAL candidates vs TEN

DALDallas CowboysATHOUHouston Texans

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium: Reliant Stadium

DAL candidates vs HOU

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 68/100

Dak Prescott

DAL · QB · vs HOU

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production243.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload35.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense236.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 26 · 1.82× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

HOU candidates vs DAL

MIAMiami DolphinsATMINMinnesota Vikings

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20264:05 PM ET
Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

MIA candidates vs MIN

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 52/100

Malik Willis

MIA · QB · vs MIN

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production209.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload28.7 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense182.8 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

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KCKansas City ChiefsATLVLas Vegas Raiders

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20264:25 PM ET
Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

KC candidates vs LV

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 65/100

Patrick Mahomes

KC · QB · vs LV

Over 233.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

Under 233.5 · -117 · updated Oct 4, 4:15 PM ET

Recent production270.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload32.7 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense203.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 28 · 2.41× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback

DENDenver BroncosATSFSan Francisco 49ers

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20264:25 PM ET
Stadium: Levi's Stadium

DEN candidates vs SF

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 61/100

Bo Nix

DEN · QB · vs SF

Over 224.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

Under 224.5 · -114 · updated Oct 4, 4:16 PM ET

Recent production201.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload31.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense221.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 15 · 0.69× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

LACLos Angeles ChargersATSEASeattle Seahawks

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20264:25 PM ET
Stadium: Lumen Field

LAC candidates vs SEA

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 55/100

Justin Herbert

LAC · QB · vs SEA

Over 198.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

Under 198.5 · -117 · updated Oct 4, 4:16 PM ET

Recent production209.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload29.3 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense172.0 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 11 · 0.60× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback

DETDetroit LionsATCARCarolina Panthers

Kickoff · ET: Sun, Oct 4, 20268:20 PM ET
Stadium: Bank of America Stadium

DET candidates vs CAR

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 69/100

Jared Goff

DET · QB · vs CAR

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production267.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload36.3 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense196.0 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 22 · 1.47× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

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CAR candidates

ATLAtlanta FalconsATNONew Orleans Saints

Kickoff · ET: Mon, Oct 5, 20268:15 PM ET
Stadium: Caesars Superdome

ATL candidates vs NO

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 53/100

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB · vs NO

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production202.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games

Recent workload23.0 attemptsPer-game recent window

Opponent defense199.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games

Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate

Evidence

Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
Opponent sample: 8 games (3 current, 5 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations

Early Season Prior Year Fallback
Opponent Prior Season Fallback
Role Surge No Data

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Missing frozen games

1 game scope(s) had no valid pregame snapshot at kickoff and remain withheld.

IND candidates vs WSH

WSH candidates vs IND

NE candidates vs BUF

Drake Maye

BUF candidates vs NE

Josh Allen

NYJ candidates vs CHI

Geno Smith

CHI candidates vs NYJ

JAX candidates vs CIN

Trevor Lawrence

CIN candidates vs JAX

ARI candidates vs NYG

Jacoby Brissett

NYG candidates vs ARI

LAR candidates vs PHI

Matthew Stafford

PHI candidates vs LAR

GB candidates vs TB

Jordan Love

TB candidates vs GB

TEN candidates vs BAL

Cam Ward

BAL candidates vs TEN

DAL candidates vs HOU

Dak Prescott

HOU candidates vs DAL

MIA candidates vs MIN

Malik Willis

KC candidates vs LV

Patrick Mahomes

DEN candidates vs SF

Bo Nix

LAC candidates vs SEA

Justin Herbert

DET candidates vs CAR

Jared Goff

CAR candidates

ATL candidates vs NO

Michael Penix Jr.

Case Keenum

Joe Burrow

Jameis Winston

Jalen Hurts

Lamar Jackson

C.J. Stroud

MIN candidates vs MIA

Kyler Murray

LV candidates vs KC

Kirk Cousins

SF candidates vs DEN

Brock Purdy

SEA candidates vs LAC

Sam Darnold

Bryce Young

NO candidates vs ATL

Tyler Shough