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2026 · WEEK 5 · MATCHUP PICKS

Passing Yards

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At most one safely resolved starting quarterback per team.

Only persisted pregame evidence is shown. Availability and evidence completeness are separate from Matchup Quality.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTBTampa Bay BuccaneersATDallas Cowboys logoDALDallas Cowboys

Kickoff · ET
Thu, Oct 8, 20268:15 PM ET
Stadium
AT&T Stadium

TB candidates vs DAL

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 25/100
Jalon Daniels headshot

Jalon Daniels

TB · QB · vs DAL

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production74.0 pass ydsLast 2 eligible games
Recent workload15.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense243.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Sample limitations: Insufficient Recent History, L3 Sample Incomplete, L5 Sample Incomplete.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Early Season Prior Year Fallback
  • Insufficient Recent History
  • L5 Sample Incomplete
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data
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DAL candidates vs TB

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 74/100
Dak Prescott headshot

Dak Prescott

DAL · QB · vs TB

Sportsbook line unavailable.

Recent production296.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload38.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense232.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data
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Philadelphia Eagles logoPHIPhiladelphia EaglesATJacksonville Jaguars logoJAXJacksonville Jaguars

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20269:30 AM ET
Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

PHI candidates vs JAX

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

JAX candidates vs PHI

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

Chicago Bears logoCHIChicago BearsATGreen Bay Packers logoGBGreen Bay Packers

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Lambeau Field

CHI candidates vs GB

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 27/100
Tyson Bagent headshot

Tyson Bagent

CHI · QB · vs GB

Over 214.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

Under 214.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
Recent production114.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload14.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense212.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Sample limitations: L5 Sample Incomplete.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Early Season Prior Year Fallback

Houston Texans logoHOUHouston TexansATTennessee Titans logoTENTennessee Titans

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Nissan Stadium

HOU candidates vs TEN

#1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 75/100
C.J. Stroud headshot

C.J. Stroud

HOU · QB · vs TEN

Over 234.5 passing yards · -112 · BetRivers

Under 234.5 · -118 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
Recent production289.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload37.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense238.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Cincinnati Bengals logoCINCincinnati BengalsATMiami Dolphins logoMIAMiami Dolphins

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Hard Rock Stadium

CIN candidates vs MIA

#1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 82/100
Joe Burrow headshot

Joe Burrow

CIN · QB · vs MIA

Over 258.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

Under 258.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
Recent production305.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload40.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense254.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Las Vegas Raiders logoLVLas Vegas RaidersATNew England Patriots logoNENew England Patriots

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Gillette Stadium

LV candidates vs NE

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 69/100
Kirk Cousins headshot

Kirk Cousins

LV · QB · vs NE

Over 237.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

Under 237.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
Recent production288.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload38.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense183.8 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Minnesota Vikings logoMINMinnesota VikingsATNew Orleans Saints logoNONew Orleans Saints

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Caesars Superdome

MIN candidates vs NO

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 50/100
Kyler Murray headshot

Kyler Murray

MIN · QB · vs NO

Over 209.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

Under 209.5 · -117 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
Recent production144.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload23.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense211.8 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Cleveland Browns logoCLECleveland BrownsATNew York Jets logoNYJNew York Jets

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
MetLife Stadium

CLE candidates vs NYJ

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 65/100
Deshaun Watson headshot

Deshaun Watson

CLE · QB · vs NYJ

Over 190.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 190.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
Recent production216.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload31.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense250.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Sample limitations: L5 Sample Incomplete.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • L5 Sample Incomplete

Indianapolis Colts logoINDIndianapolis ColtsATPittsburgh Steelers logoPITPittsburgh Steelers

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Acrisure Stadium

IND candidates vs PIT

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 62/100
Daniel Jones headshot

Daniel Jones

IND · QB · vs PIT

Over 208.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 208.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
Recent production196.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload33.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense242.8 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

New York Giants logoNYGNew York GiantsATWashington Commanders logoWSHWashington Commanders

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20261:00 PM ET
Stadium
Northwest Stadium

NYG candidates vs WSH

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 55/100
Jameis Winston headshot

Jameis Winston

NYG · QB · vs WSH

Over 195.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 195.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
Recent production159.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload26.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense247.9 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Denver Broncos logoDENDenver BroncosATLos Angeles Chargers logoLACLos Angeles Chargers

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20264:05 PM ET
Stadium
SoFi Stadium

DEN candidates vs LAC

#1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 65/100
Bo Nix headshot

Bo Nix

DEN · QB · vs LAC

Over 218.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 218.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 3:55 PM ET
Recent production229.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload35.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense219.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 27 · 2.71× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data

Detroit Lions logoDETDetroit LionsATArizona Cardinals logoARIArizona Cardinals

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20264:25 PM ET
Stadium
State Farm Stadium

DET candidates vs ARI

#1 · Passing YardsElite Matchup · 85/100
Jared Goff headshot

Jared Goff

DET · QB · vs ARI

Over 286.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 286.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 4:15 PM ET
Recent production336.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload40.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense254.5 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

San Francisco 49ers logoSFSan Francisco 49ersATSeattle Seahawks logoSEASeattle Seahawks

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20264:25 PM ET
Stadium
Lumen Field

SF candidates vs SEA

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 56/100
Brock Purdy headshot

Brock Purdy

SF · QB · vs SEA

Over 228.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 228.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 4:16 PM ET
Recent production267.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload26.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense175.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback

Baltimore Ravens logoBALBaltimore RavensATAtlanta Falcons logoATLAtlanta Falcons

Kickoff · ET
Sun, Oct 11, 20268:20 PM ET
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

BAL candidates vs ATL

No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

ATL candidates vs BAL

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 58/100
Michael Penix Jr. headshot

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB · vs BAL

Over 221.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

Under 221.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 8:10 PM ET
Recent production218.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload20.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense263.9 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 20 · 1.28× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Buffalo Bills logoBUFBuffalo BillsATLos Angeles Rams logoLARLos Angeles Rams

Kickoff · ET
Mon, Oct 12, 20268:15 PM ET
Stadium
SoFi Stadium

BUF candidates vs LAR

#1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 62/100
Josh Allen headshot

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · vs LAR

Over 246.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

Under 246.5 · -115 · updated Oct 12, 8:05 PM ET
Recent production235.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
Recent workload30.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
Opponent defense199.0 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 22 · 1.31× league rate
Evidence
  • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
  • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
  • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

Evidence limitations
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data
  • L5 Sample Incomplete
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    GB candidates vs CHI

    #1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 68/100
    Jordan Love headshot

    Jordan Love

    GB · QB · vs CHI

    Over 241.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

    Under 241.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
    Recent production218.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload37.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense223.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 27 · 2.71× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    TEN candidates vs HOU

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 60/100
    Cam Ward headshot

    Cam Ward

    TEN · QB · vs HOU

    Over 190.5 passing yards · -118 · BetRivers

    Under 190.5 · -122 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
    Recent production195.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload29.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense258.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 27 · 2.71× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    MIA candidates vs CIN

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 53/100
    Malik Willis headshot

    Malik Willis

    MIA · QB · vs CIN

    Over 190.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

    Under 190.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
    Recent production164.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload25.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense227.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    NE candidates vs LV

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 57/100
    Drake Maye headshot

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB · vs LV

    Over 222.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

    Under 222.5 · -117 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
    Recent production225.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload28.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense205.0 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    NO candidates vs MIN

    #1 · Passing YardsGood Matchup · 74/100
    Tyler Shough headshot

    Tyler Shough

    NO · QB · vs MIN

    Over 235.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

    Under 235.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
    Recent production264.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload41.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense179.9 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    NYJ candidates vs CLE

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 63/100
    Geno Smith headshot

    Geno Smith

    NYJ · QB · vs CLE

    Over 197.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

    Under 197.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET
    Recent production229.0 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload31.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense224.1 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    PIT candidates vs IND

    #1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 80/100
    Aaron Rodgers headshot

    Aaron Rodgers

    PIT · QB · vs IND

    Over 222.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

    Under 222.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 12:51 PM ET
    Recent production259.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload37.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense267.4 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
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    WSH candidates vs NYG

    No safely resolved starting quarterback is available for this team.

    View Profile

    LAC candidates vs DEN

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 62/100
    Justin Herbert headshot

    Justin Herbert

    LAC · QB · vs DEN

    Over 196.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

    Under 196.5 · -114 · updated Oct 11, 3:55 PM ET
    Recent production202.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload30.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense217.3 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    ARI candidates vs DET

    #1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 75/100
    Jacoby Brissett headshot

    Jacoby Brissett

    ARI · QB · vs DET

    Over 270.5 passing yards · -114 · BetRivers

    Under 270.5 · -117 · updated Oct 11, 4:15 PM ET
    Recent production180.3 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload38.3 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense275.6 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 27 · 2.71× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
  • Role Surge No Data
  • View Profile

    SEA candidates vs SF

    #1 · Passing YardsSupported Matchup · 53/100
    Sam Darnold headshot

    Sam Darnold

    SEA · QB · vs SF

    Over 235.5 passing yards · -115 · BetRivers

    Under 235.5 · -115 · updated Oct 11, 4:16 PM ET
    Recent production186.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload23.0 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense229.3 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQBTD rank 16 · 1.35× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
    Evidence limitations
    • Early Season Prior Year Fallback
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile
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    LAR candidates vs BUF

    #1 · Passing YardsStrong Matchup · 80/100
    Matthew Stafford headshot

    Matthew Stafford

    LAR · QB · vs BUF

    Over 280.5 passing yards · -117 · BetRivers

    Under 280.5 · -114 · updated Oct 12, 8:05 PM ET
    Recent production344.7 pass ydsLast 3 eligible games
    Recent workload45.7 attemptsPer-game recent window
    Opponent defense197.3 pass yds allowedQB sample · 8 games
    Role Leak · TD contextQB1TD rank 1 · 0.00× league rate
    Evidence
    • Verified Active. Injury status: Active.
    • Opponent sample: 8 games (4 current, 4 prior). Prior-season fallback is in use.
    • Evidence quality: Fallback Heavy.

    Availability: Verified Active · Role Surge: Unavailable · Alignment: NO_DATA

    Evidence completeness 100/100 · Matchup Quality score, not a probability or projected margin.

    Evidence limitations
    • Opponent Prior Season Fallback
    • Role Surge No Data
    View Profile